Diverging

Some early technical indicators seem to be diverging from the uptrend. I’m feeling it could be the beginning of a correction (maybe 5-10% in most stock groups.) MACD is rolling over in most groups, and in recent days we’ve finished on the weak side, which is not the sign of a market that wants to continue to go higher.

Traders should prepare to close out marginal positions and tighten stops on others if a general market selloff accelerates. Investors (including 401k accounts) should then reduce or clean out this year’s underperformers, and ring the cash register on a portion of their biggest gainers.

I think the correction, if it develops, will provide opportunities to scale into a shopping list of stocks/funds. By industry I’m watching: tech, biotech, select pharma, select energy, gold, and almost anything that pays a solid dividend. I might look at some regional bank ETFs, potentially building strength after several difficult years.

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Responsibly Managing Investment Accounts Over 25 Years Although I’m based in Marin County my clients are from all over the San Francisco Bay Area, California, the rest of the U.S. and abroad. My clients are individuals, family trusts, businesses, business retirement plans, non-profits and foundations. This blog is intended to help individual investors with simple and timely tips and important information on markets, investment management and financial planning.

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